jueves, 13 de septiembre de 2012

Nuevas previsiones de la FED - septiembre

Las anteriores para comparar son estas: http://droblopuntocom.blogspot.com.es/2012/09/actuales-proyecciones-de-la-fed-para-la.html

GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents
Change in Real GDP1201220132014
Sept 2012 Projections1.7 to 2.02.5 to 3.03.0 to 3.8
June 2012 Projections1.9 to 2.42.2 to 2.83.0 to 3.5
1 Projections of change in real GDP and in inflation are from the fourth quarter of the previous year to the fourth quarter of the year indicated. 

GDP projections have been revised down for 2012, and revised up for 2013 and 2014.

The unemployment rate was at 8.1% in August, and the projection for 2012 is unchanged. The projection for 2014 was revised down.

Unemployment projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents
Unemployment Rate2201220132014
Sept 2012 Projections8.0 to 8.27.6 to 7.96.7 to 7.3
June 2012 Projections8.0 to 8.27.5 to 8.07.0 to 7.7
2 Projections for the unemployment rate are for the average civilian unemployment rate in the fourth quarter of the year indicated. 

The forecasts for overall and core inflation show the FOMC is still not concerned about inflation.

Inflation projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents
PCE Inflation1201220132014
Sept 2012 Projections1.7 to 1.81.6 to 2.01.6 to 2.0
June 2012 Projections1.2 to 1.71.5 to 2.01.5 to 2.0

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