jueves, 20 de junio de 2013

Las nuevas previsiones de la FED


GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents
Change in Real GDP1201320142015
June 2013 Meeting Projections2.3 to 2.63.0 to 3.52.9 to 3.6
Mar 2013 Meeting Projections2.3 to 2.82.9 to 3.42.9 to 3.7
Dec 2012 Meeting Projections2.3 to 3.03.0 to 3.53.0 to 3.7
1 Projections of change in real GDP and in inflation are from the fourth quarter of the previous year to the fourth quarter of the year indicated. 

The unemployment rate was at 7.6% in May.  

Unemployment projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents
Unemployment Rate2201320142015
June 2013 Meeting Projections7.2 to 7.36.5 to 6.85.8 to 6.2
Mar 2013 Meeting Projections7.3 to 7.56.7 to 7.06.0 to 6.5
Dec 2012 Meeting Projections7.4 to 7.76.8 to 7.36.0 to 6.6
2 Projections for the unemployment rate are for the average civilian unemployment rate in the fourth quarter of the year indicated. 

The FOMC believes inflation will stay significantly below target.

Inflation projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents
PCE Inflation1201320142015
June 2013 Meeting Projections0.8 to 1.21.4 to 2.01.6 to 2.0
Mar 2013 Meeting Projections1.3 to 1.71.5 to 2.01.7 to 2.0
Dec 2012 Meeting Projections1.3 to 2.01.5 to 2.01.7 to 2.0

Se pueden comparar con las anteriores aquí: 

Ante de la reunión del FOMC, repasemos las previsiones de la FED 

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