Según Knight Frank global house price index
Las nuevas previsiones de la FED
GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents | |||
---|---|---|---|
Change in Real GDP1 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |
June 2013 Meeting Projections | 2.3 to 2.6 | 3.0 to 3.5 | 2.9 to 3.6 |
Mar 2013 Meeting Projections | 2.3 to 2.8 | 2.9 to 3.4 | 2.9 to 3.7 |
Dec 2012 Meeting Projections | 2.3 to 3.0 | 3.0 to 3.5 | 3.0 to 3.7 |
The unemployment rate was at 7.6% in May.
Unemployment projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents | |||
---|---|---|---|
Unemployment Rate2 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |
June 2013 Meeting Projections | 7.2 to 7.3 | 6.5 to 6.8 | 5.8 to 6.2 |
Mar 2013 Meeting Projections | 7.3 to 7.5 | 6.7 to 7.0 | 6.0 to 6.5 |
Dec 2012 Meeting Projections | 7.4 to 7.7 | 6.8 to 7.3 | 6.0 to 6.6 |
The FOMC believes inflation will stay significantly below target.
Inflation projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents | |||
---|---|---|---|
PCE Inflation1 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |
June 2013 Meeting Projections | 0.8 to 1.2 | 1.4 to 2.0 | 1.6 to 2.0 |
Mar 2013 Meeting Projections | 1.3 to 1.7 | 1.5 to 2.0 | 1.7 to 2.0 |
Dec 2012 Meeting Projections | 1.3 to 2.0 | 1.5 to 2.0 | 1.7 to 2.0 |
Se pueden comparar con las anteriores aquí:
Ante de la reunión del FOMC, repasemos las previsiones de la FED
Ante de la reunión del FOMC, repasemos las previsiones de la FED
The central range for 2012 GDP will probably be closer to the lower end of the March projections.
1 Projections of change in real GDP and in inflation are from the fourth quarter of the previous year to the fourth quarter of the year indicated.
The unemployment rate was at 7.6% in May and the June projections will probably be unchanged.
2 Projections for the unemployment rate are for the average civilian unemployment rate in the fourth quarter of the year indicated.
Projections for inflation will probably be reduced. Goldman Sachs believes the FOMC will lower the central projection for PCE inflation to 1.25% in 2013, and core PCE to 1.3%. The current concern is that inflation is below the Fed's target.
GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents | |||
---|---|---|---|
Change in Real GDP1 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |
June 2013 Meeting Projections | ¿? | ¿? | ¿? |
Mar 2013 Meeting Projections | 2.3 to 2.8 | 2.9 to 3.4 | 2.9 to 3.7 |
Dec 2012 Meeting Projections | 2.3 to 3.0 | 3.0 to 3.5 | 3.0 to 3.7 |
The unemployment rate was at 7.6% in May and the June projections will probably be unchanged.
Unemployment projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents | |||
---|---|---|---|
Unemployment Rate2 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |
June 2013 Meeting Projections | ¿? | ¿? | ¿? |
Mar 2013 Meeting Projections | 7.3 to 7.5 | 6.7 to 7.0 | 6.0 to 6.5 |
Dec 2012 Meeting Projections | 7.4 to 7.7 | 6.8 to 7.3 | 6.0 to 6.6 |
Projections for inflation will probably be reduced. Goldman Sachs believes the FOMC will lower the central projection for PCE inflation to 1.25% in 2013, and core PCE to 1.3%. The current concern is that inflation is below the Fed's target.
Inflation projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents | |||
---|---|---|---|
PCE Inflation1 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |
June 2013 Meeting Projections | ¿? | ¿? | ¿? |
Mar 2013 Meeting Projections | 1.3 to 1.7 | 1.5 to 2.0 | 1.7 to 2.0 |
Dec 2012 Meeting Projections | 1.3 to 2.0 | 1.5 to 2.0 | 1.7 to 2.0 |
Los tipos de la deuda USA los dos últimos años
donde se ve gráficamente el repunte de rentabilidades de las últimas semanas ¿por miedo a un fin de la QE ilimitada?
Posición de Inversión Internacional Neta
Acreedora (más activos que pasivos) en positivo
Deudora (más pasivos que activos) en negativo
Gracias a
Deudora (más pasivos que activos) en negativo
Gracias a
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