Actualización de la lista CMA con los 10 países con más riesgo de impago

Datos de las 13.30

Highest Default Probabilities

Entity Name	CDS	CPD (%)
Greece	2747.59	83.46
Venezuela	1106.28	54.28
Portugal	971.16	53.79
Ireland	831.68	48.24
Pakistan	862.30	44.96
Argentina	769.76	42.16
Ukraine	539.50	31.28
Italy	364.90	27.06
Spain	360.45	26.63
Hungary	409.59	24.99

Gráfico de la bolsa de Islandia

3 bancos españoles entre los 50 más seguros del mundo según Global Finance

WORLD’S 50 SAFEST BANKS

1	KfW (Germany)	26	United Overseas Bank (Singapore)
2	Caisse des Dépôts et Consignations (CDC) (France)	27	Crédit Lyonnais (France)
3	Bank Nederlandse Gemeenten (BNG) (Netherlands)	28	Pohjola Bank (Finland)
4	Zürcher Kantonalbank (Switzerland)	29	Credit Suisse Group (Switzerland)
5	Landwirtschaftliche Rentenbank (Germany)	30	BMO Financial Group (Canada)
6	Rabobank Group (Netherlands)	Tie*31	Cassa Depositi e Prestiti (Italy)
Tie*7	Landesbank Baden-Württemberg - Förderbank (Germany)	Tie*31	CIBC (Canada)
Tie*7	Nederlandse Waterschapsbank (Netherlands)	32	Banco Español de Crédito (Banesto) (Spain)
8	Banque et Caisse d’Épargne de l’État (Luxembourg)	33	Deutsche Bank (Germany)
9	NRW.Bank (Germany)	34	JPMorgan Chase (United States)
10	Banco Santander (Spain)	35	Société Générale (France)
11	Royal Bank of Canada (Canada)	36	Wells Fargo (United States)
Tie*12	National Australia Bank Limited (Australia)	37	Intesa Sanpaolo (Italy)
Tie*12	Commonwealth Bank of Australia (Australia)	38	China Development Bank (China)
13	Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD Bank) (Canada)	Tie*39	Banque Fédérative du Crédit Mutuel (BFCM) (France)
14	Westpac Banking Corporation (Australia)	Tie*39	Landesbank Baden-Württemberg (Germany)
15	BNP Paribas (France)	40	U.S. Bancorp (United States)
16	HSBC Holdings (United Kingdom)	41	Nationwide Building Society (United Kingdom)
17	Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) (Spain)	42	Agricultural Development Bank of China (China)
Tie*18	Scotiabank (Bank of Nova Scotia) (Canada)	43	Shizuoka Bank (Japan)
Tie*18	Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (Australia)	44	Northern Trust Corporation (United States)
19	DBS Bank (Singapore)	45	CoBank, ACB (United States)
20	Caisse centrale Desjardins (Canada)	46	National Bank of Abu Dhabi (United Arab Emirates)
21	Crédit Agricole (France)	47	National Bank of Kuwait (Kuwait)
22	Nordea Bank (Sweden)	48	Pictet & Cie (Switzerland)
23	Svenska Handelsbanken (Sweden)	49	Barclays Group (United Kingdom)
24	BNY Mellon (United States)	50	Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ (Japan)
25	Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (Singapore)

*A tie is assigned when two banks with the same score have total assets withina $5 billion range.



Fuente: Global Finance magazine August 18, 2011

Read more: http://www.gfmag.com/tools/best-banks/11341-worlds-50-safest-banks-2011.html#ixzz1VmDsXCiD

Actualización de la lista CMA con los 10 países con más riesgo de impago

Datos de las 17.30

Highest Default Probabilities

Entity Name	CDS	CPD (%)
Greece	2118.07	78.22
Venezuela	1083.36	53.81
Portugal	895.36	51.32
Ireland	804.10	47.39
Pakistan	857.50	46.08
Argentina	731.97	41.33
Ukraine	504.93	29.79
Spain	343.14	25.70
Italy	333.03	24.89
Iraq	393.49	24.17

Las compras masivas de BCE no son suficientes para CMA y España e Italia siguen en el "top ten"

Datos de las 13.30

Highest Default Probabilities

Entity Name	CDS	CPD (%)
Greece	2047.03	77.66
Venezuela	1101.51	54.50
Portugal	900.08	51.51
Ireland	803.72	47.38
Pakistan	873.80	47.07
Argentina	732.52	41.38
Ukraine	526.18	31.17
Spain	355.32	26.50
Italy	341.52	25.70
Hungary	403.18	24.82

Lista CMA con los 10 países con más riesgo de impago y CDS soberanos que más han subido y bajado hoy

Datos de las 13.30

Highest Default Probabilities

Entity Name	Mid Spread	CPD (%)
Greece	2018.06	77.22
Venezuela	1128.87	55.52
Pakistan	1048.60	53.82
Portugal	937.55	53.27
Ireland	842.98	49.39
Argentina	755.16	42.49
Ukraine	552.94	32.58
Spain	384.04	28.55
Italy	382.21	28.53
Hungary	435.06	26.60

Sovereign Tighteners

Entity Name	5 Yr Mid	Change (%)	Change (bps)	CPD (%)
Colombia	153.10	-5.53	-8.96	10.23
Peru	162.20	-4.36	-7.40	10.81
Argentina	755.16	-3.42	-26.72	42.49
Brazil	154.44	-2.89	-4.60	10.28
United Mexican States	154.49	-2.75	-4.37	10.33
Italy	382.21	-1.36	-5.27	28.53
Finland	66.07	-0.72	-0.48	5.63
Spain	384.04	-0.61	-2.37	28.55

Sovereign Wideners

Entity Name	5 Yr Mid	Change (%)	Change (bps)	CPD (%)
Austria	138.25	+22.03	+24.96	11.45
Australia	83.43	+9.77	+7.43	7.02
Dubai/Emirate of	394.31	+7.43	+27.28	24.55
Slovenia	203.44	+7.14	+13.56	13.37
New Zealand	99.64	+6.54	+6.12	8.31
Poland	222.15	+6.29	+13.16	14.55
Slovakia	174.14	+5.98	+9.83	11.52
Estonia	132.08	+5.93	+7.39	8.89

Italia supera a España en posibilidades de impago según CMA

Datos de las 13.30

Highest Default Probabilities

Entity Name	CDS	CPD (%)
Greece	1786.88	75.33
Venezuela	1130.50	55.64
Pakistan	1048.20	53.90
Portugal	900.70	51.93
Ireland	794.67	47.48
Argentina	759.19	42.75
Ukraine	548.15	32.40
Hungary	419.14	25.79
Italy	339.23	25.78
Spain	336.72	25.53

Fuerte mejora de los CDS en la €zona pero Italia y España siguen en el "top ten" de CMA

Datso de las 09.30

Highest Default Probabilities

Entity Name		CPD (%)
Greece		75.44
Venezuela		52.24
Portugal		52.12
Pakistan		50.77
Ireland		46.25
Argentina		39.29
Ukraine		30.99
Spain		25.57
Italy		25.20
Hungary		24.58

Sovereign Tighteners

Entity Name	5 Yr Mid	Change (%)	Change (bps)	CPD (%)
Spain	337.21	-16.31	-65.72	25.57
Italy	330.22	-13.28	-50.57	25.20
Belgium	210.19	-12.59	-30.28	16.99
Sweden	50.33	-6.44	-3.46	4.34
Portugal	905.85	-5.69	-54.63	52.12
Ireland	764.33	-5.44	-44.00	46.25
Denmark	84.79	-4.74	-4.22	7.18
Netherlands	63.03	-4.73	-3.13	5.38

Irlanda y Portugal se benefician de las posibles compras de BCE

Datos de las 21.30 - Hacía mucho que Irlanda no estaba en la quinta posición mundial

Highest Default Probabilities

Entity Name	Mid Spread	CPD (%)
Greece	1834.79	76.26
Portugal	961.45	54.20
Venezuela	1018.69	51.87
Pakistan	951.20	50.29
Ireland	809.08	48.14
Argentina	672.03	38.84
Ukraine	514.40	30.76
Spain	404.11	29.90
Italy	379.94	28.48
Hungary	398.77	24.73

Sovereign Tighteners

Entity Name	5 Yr Mid	Change (%)	Change (bps)	CPD (%)
Ireland	809.08	-8.30	-73.21	48.14
Portugal	961.45	-5.52	-56.12	54.20
Spain	404.11	-5.15	-21.96	29.90
Italy	379.94	-1.56	-6.02	28.48
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland	77.27	-1.49	-1.17	6.62
Greece	1834.79	-0.98	-18.22	76.26
Denmark	89.00	-0.38	-0.34	7.53

Actualización de la lista CMA con los 10 países con más riesgo de impago

Highest Default Probabilities

Entity Name	CDS	CPD (%)
Greece	1907.75	77.47
Portugal	1061.25	57.56
Ireland	920.73	52.38
Venezuela	1000.80	51.24
Pakistan	887.00	47.74
Argentina	636.83	37.16
Spain	430.21	31.51
Italy	407.72	30.24
Ukraine	469.47	28.44
Vietnam	354.43	23.49

Lista CMA: España e Italia de nuevo en máximos y aparece Hungría

Datos de las 17.30

Highest Default Probabilities

Entity Name	Mid Spread	CPD (%)
Greece	1887.70	77.16
Portugal	1017.10	56.11
Ireland	886.61	51.12
Venezuela	966.41	50.00
Pakistan	873.50	47.14
Argentina	614.55	36.04
Spain	426.00	31.27
Italy	385.68	28.87
Ukraine	475.01	28.76
Hungary	367.74	23.03

Y a pesar del desplome bursátil, España no ha estado entre los que más han subido hoy

Sovereign Wideners

Entity Name	5 Yr Mid	Change (%)	Change (bps)	CPD (%)
Hungary	367.74	+8.31	+28.20	23.03
Italy	385.68	+7.24	+26.03	28.87
Slovakia	139.62	+6.54	+8.57	9.38
Germany	71.46	+6.49	+4.36	6.15
Turkey	204.67	+5.81	+11.24	13.52
Belgium	238.32	+5.13	+11.63	19.11
Netherlands	65.01	+4.88	+3.03	5.56
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland	79.14	+4.15	+3.15	6.79

Principales ratings actuales de la €zona

España supera a Ucrania en posibilidades de quiebra según CMA

Y con estos datos de las 17.30 alcanza la séptima posición mundial

Highest Default Probabilities

Entity Name		CPD (%)
Greece		76.46
Portugal		54.92
Ireland		49.77
Venezuela		49.46
Pakistan		45.17
Argentina		34.52
Spain		28.17
Ukraine		27.36
Italy		24.86
Lebanon		22.35

También salimos en los CDS soberanos que más han subido hoy, en un porcentaje similar al de Italia, el otro gran afectado del día:

Sovereign Wideners

Entity Name	5 Yr Mid	Change (%)	Change (bps)	CPD (%)
Spain	375.79	+3.65	+13.23	28.17
Italy	323.88	+3.44	+10.78	24.86
Slovakia	124.79	+2.92	+3.54	8.43
Ireland	849.87	+2.29	+19.00	49.77
France	122.19	+1.85	+2.22	10.39
Denmark	87.99	+1.34	+1.16	7.48
Sweden	43.14	+1.16	+0.50	3.75
Portugal	980.92	+1.05	+10.17	54.92